← Hobby Lords Lower Hutt AMB Regionals
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at Hobby Lords Lower Hutt AMB Regionals
decks
1
(3.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-2-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.9%
avg ELO +0.6 per match
expected value
48.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1217
· median 1217
· range 1217–1217
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
991
Q1 1225
Q3 1401
1599
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Ravishing Mill | 15.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 12.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 12.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 9.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 60.6% | +10.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.0% | -4.8 |
| Slimes | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% | -13.1 |
| Water Crux Mage | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Polkhawk | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
